Microsoft Corporation - Technical Analysis
Technical indicators for Microsoft are overwhelmingly negative across multiple timeframes.
Current Price and Range
Current Price
$393.31
as of March 7, 2025
52-Week Range
Low: $381.00|High: $468.35
Recent Trading Range
$381.00 - $419.31
last month
Current Position
Trading near the lows of the recent range
Trend Analysis
Short-Term Trend
Negative
Medium-Term Trend
Negative
Long-Term Trend
Negative
An approximate horizontal trend channel in the medium term has been broken down, indicating continued weak development.
Price Performance
| Time Period | Performance |
|---|---|
| 1-Day Performance | -0.90% (-$3.58) |
| 5-Day Performance | -0.93% |
| 22-Day Performance | -4.62% |
| 66-Day Performance | -7.02% |
| Yearly Performance Ranking | Underperforming 68% of all stocks in the market |
Technical Indicators
Moving Averages
| Indicator | Signal |
|---|---|
| 20-Day Moving Average | SELL |
| 50-Day Moving Average | SELL |
| 20-50 Day MA Crossover | SELL |
| 20-100 Day MA Crossover | SELL |
| 20-200 Day MA Crossover | SELL |
| 50-100 Day MA Crossover | SELL |
| 50-150 Day MA Crossover | SELL |
Overall Technical Ratings
Barchart Opinion
100% SELL
based on 13 technical indicators
ChartMill Technical Rating
0 out of 10
scores bad on all fronts
Trend Seeker
SELL signal
Volume Analysis
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Average Volume | 21,903,900 traded shares per day |
| Volume Assessment | Good liquidity, which is a positive factor |
| Volume Balance (5 days) | -34.27 |
| Volume Balance (22 days) | -36.30 |
| Volume Balance (66 days) | -25.92 |
Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 1st Resistance Point | $396.89 |
| 2nd Resistance Point | $400.48 |
| 3rd Resistance Point | $406.15 |
| Key Resistance Level | $404.00 |
| Additional Resistance | $422.00 (+7.3%) |
| Major Resistance | $436.00 (+10.9%) |
Support Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 1st Support Level | $387.63 |
| 2nd Support Level | $381.96 |
| 3rd Support Level | $378.37 |
| Key Support Level | $386.00 |
Chart Patterns and Formations
Pattern Analysis
- The stock has broken down from an approximate horizontal trend channel
- Currently trading between support at $386 and resistance at $404
- A definitive break through one of these levels would predict the new direction
- The stock now meets resistance on possible reactions up towards the trend lines
Volatility Metrics
| Time Period | Volatility |
|---|---|
| 1-Day Volatility | 0.99% |
| 5-Day Volatility | 3.21% |
| 22-Day Volatility | 8.52% |
| 66-Day Volatility | 15.86% |
Industry Comparison
- Industry Performance: Average performer in the Software industry
- Industry Ranking: Outperforms 56% of 283 stocks in the same industry
Technical Analysis Summary
Microsoft's technical indicators are overwhelmingly negative across multiple timeframes. The stock has broken down from its horizontal trend channel and is currently trading near the lower end of its recent range. All major moving averages are giving SELL signals, and technical rating systems from multiple sources indicate negative momentum.
The stock is currently in a critical position between support at $386 and resistance at $404. A definitive break below $386 could trigger further selling pressure, while a break above $404 would be needed to reverse the negative trend. The high trading volume provides good liquidity, which is one of the few positive technical factors.
With a technical rating of 0/10 from ChartMill and a 100% SELL opinion from Barchart, the technical outlook for Microsoft is bearish in the short to medium term. Investors should watch the key support level at $386 closely, as a break below this level could lead to accelerated downside movement.
The negative technical picture contrasts with Microsoft's strong fundamental position, creating a potential disconnect between technical signals and the company's underlying business strength. This divergence may present opportunities for investors with different time horizons and investment strategies.